Thursday, 11 May 2017

Assignment 2: Global Warming: Cause and Mitigation

Assignment 2: Global Warming: Cause and Mitigation 
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NAME
Professor Olivia Uitto
SCI110 – Introduction to Physical Science
August 26, 2015



Global warming is thephraseused to refer to a steadyincrease in theaveragetemperature of the Earth, a change that is understood to be permanentlychangingour Earth’s climateNumerousstudieshaveidentifiedthatnaturaland anthropogenic processesinfluencechanges in the global climate.  In Earth’s history, before the Industrial Revolution around 1760, the Earth’s climatechanged due to naturalcauses not related to humanactivityNaturalclimateeventsincludesolar variability due to sunspot andothersolarcycles, long-term changes in solar orbital parameters, andintermittent volcanic eruptionsMostoften, the global climatechangedbecause of variations in sunlightChanges in the Sun have alternately increasedanddecreasedtheamount of solarenergyreaching our Earth.  Also, volcanic activity has increasedgreenhousegases over millions of years, contributing to incidents of global warming. 

On theotherhand, anthropogenic climatechangerefers to theproduction of greenhousegasesemitted by humanactivity.  Anthropogenic influencesincludeemissions from sulfate aerosols andhumanlandcoverchange, as well as stratospheric ozone depletion, black andorganiccarbon aerosols andjet contrails.  The global scientificcommunity, represented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has identifiedthathumanactivitiesare responsiblefortheclimatechangeswe are currently experiencing.  Since the Industrial Revolution, anthropogenic climatechangecarbon dioxideemissionshavecome from coalandpetroleumfossilfuelburningand deforestation andagriculturallandusechangesTheconversion of forest to pasture is an important source of greenhousegasemission, notably carbon dioxide to theatmosphereFurthermore, theenergysector, including transport, is themostimportantarea of economicactivity as far as global warming is concernedTheincreasedquantities of carbon dioxide andothergreenhousegasesreleased by the burning of fossilfuels, agriculture, landclearing, andotherhumanactions, are theprimarysources of the global warming that has happened over thepastfew decades.

Global warming is occurringWe are thereasonWe are overburdening our atmosphere with carbon dioxide, trappingheatanddriving up our planet’s temperatureThefossilfuelsweburnforenergy, plus theloss of forests due to deforestation forlanduseandagriculture is theproblemClimatescientists are looking at data andfacts, andtheyagreetheplanet is warmingThescientificconsensus on climatic changesconnected to global warming is thattheaveragetemperature of our Earth has risen between 32.72 and 33.44 °F over thepast 100 yearsScientists from the IPCC haverecentlypredictedthatglobal averagetemperatures could increase between 34.52 and 42.44 °F by theyear 2100.  Therefore, changesresulting from global warming includerising sea levels due to the melting of thepolaricecapsThe sea level has slowlybeenrising due to the melting of icebergs from theworld's landiceandindividualmountainglaciersAnotherclimatechange is evident by theincrease in occurrenceandseverity of stormsandothersevereweatherevents.  Global warming affectsstormformation by decreasingthetemperaturedifference between thepolesandtheequatorThattemperaturedifferencefuelsthe mid-latitude storms that affectthe Earth’s most populated regionsThe Earth's temperature is increasing, andthechange is evidentandobvious.  Global warming is happening, andhumanactivity is theprimarycause


Because there is nosinglemiraclesolution, anyapproach to greenhousegasmitigation must involve a mixedstrategyemploying a variety of measuresEnergyefficiencyimprovements in thebuilding, transportation, andindustrialsectorsemerge as themost cost-effective measuresforreducinggreenhousegasemissionsWeneed to developsafe, lowercost non-fossil energysourcesandimprovetheefficiency of existingfossilfuel technology.  Improvingtheefficiency of electricity can lowergreenhousegas, primarilycarbon dioxide, emissions by reducingthedemandforfossilfuelsThe potential forsavingelectricity in residentialandcommercialbuildings can be beneficial.  In addition to electrical savings, a combination of fossilfuelefficiencyprogramsaimed at electricity plus fuel switching from electricity to naturalgas could producefurtheremissionreductions at a netsavingscostNewelectricitysupplyoptions that emitnocarbon dioxide could achievefurtherreductions, but would involvehigh implementation costs, up to billions of dollars per year

In addition, Archer (2011) statesthatagricultural yields andthenumber of peoplethatthe Earth can support are products of theinfrastructure of our civilization: fertilizers, transportationandthe processing of thefood” (p. 166).  Thisinfrastructure of civilizationinvolves tillage, theplowing of landforweedandpestcontroland to prepareforseeding.  Tilling has longbeenpart of the cropland farmingenterprise.  Paustian, Six, Elliot & Hunt (2000) agreethat “Conversion of nativevegetation to cultivatedcropland under conventional tillage system has resulted in a significantdecline in soilorganicmatter content” (p. 149).  Globally, theselandusechangesare responsibleforabout 14% of thetotalemissions.  No-tillage managementis promoted as a practicecapable of offsettinggreenhouse gasemissionsbecause of its ability to sequestercarbon in soilsResearch on soilorganicmatter dynamics under well-managed pastures has shownthatsoilorganiccarbonstocks progressively increase with time of pasturecultivationIt has beenestimated on a global scalethattheagriculturalsector has the potential to reduce radiative forcing of greenhousegases by 1.15–3.3PgC equivalents per year (Cole, Duxbury, Freney, Heinemeyer, Minami, Mosier, Paustian, Rosenberg, Sampson, Sauerbeck, Zhao, 1997, p. 222).  Thismeansthatifconsidered in isolation, soils under well-managed pasturescan be regarded as a carbon dioxide sink.  No-tillage farming, promoted as an agriculturalpractice, creates a successfulsituation by decreasingsoilerosionandenhancingagricultural sustainability related with mitigating greenhousegasemissionsClimatechangeand variability, drought, andother climate-related excesseshave a directeffect on thequantityandquality of agriculturalproductionTherefore, betteradaptationstrategies to increasingclimate variability andclimatechange, especiallywhereagricultureproduction is extremelysensitive to climatic variations, are essential to avoidadverseimpacts on socialandeconomicdevelopment.

Thestructuralpower of capital has intensifiedtheconstraints on thedevelopment of policies to respond to global warming.  Systemapproaches that combineimprovingvehicle technology strategiesanddevelopingsafe non-fossil fuel can reduce transportation-related emissions significantly.  Forthe U.S. transportationsector, systemapproaches that combineadvancedvehicle technology, lowergreenhousegasfuels, andthetraveldemandmanagementyieldthelargest potential andflexibilityforloweringbothgreenhouseemissionsandpetroleumuse.  Weart(2008) stated that “A goodstart would be to removeallgovernmentsubsidiesforfossilfuels, which are staggeringly large, mostlyhiddenand economically unsound” (p. 202). Forthe United States, anotherreasonablestep would be to graduallyraisethetax on gasolineKrauskopfandBeiser(2014) notedthat “If only a third of American carsandlighttruckswerediesels, thesavings would amount to the equivalent of all theoilimported from Saudi Arabia” (p. 107).  In summary, to developsensibleand politically acceptablepoliciesfordealing with global climatechange, weneed to know a lotmore about thefullsocialandeconomicconsequences of alternative mitigation that measuresthepotentialhumanandecologicalimpacts of global warming, andthecosts of adapting to climate change.



Archer, D. (2011). Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast (2nd ed.). Hoboken, N.J.: John
Wiley & Sons.
Cole CV, Duxbury J, Freney J et al. (1997) Global Estimates of Potential Mitigation of
     Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Agriculture. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 49, 221–
228.
Krauskopf, K., &Beiser, A. (2014). The Physical Universe (15th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-
Hill.
Paustian, K., Six, J., Elliot, E.,& Hunt, H. (2000). Management Options for Reducing CO2
Emissions from Agricultural Soils. Biogeochemistry,48, 147-163.
Weart, S. (2008). The Discovery of Global Warming. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University
Press.


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